I guess I’m a little late to weigh in on what looks like the most stacked card since UFC 100, but here goes.
Nick Diaz vs. Rory Macdonald
Diaz has looked great his last few times out. Watching him pick apart Marcus Davis in August was impressive. I give this one to him despite lacking home “cage” advantage.
Randy Couture vs. Lyoto Machida
I’m not shy about my love for Machida. Until his loss(es) to Shogun he never lost a round. Then he got away from his defensive karate style and he got knocked out. Against Rampage he went back to his more elusive style, and he looked much better. What it comes down to is that he’s a decision-style fighter. But that’s what Couture has become as well, and he’s better at it. He bullied Brandon Vera against the cage in their fight, and he got the nod despite being dropped by a nasty kick. Even Candian judges will love Captain America, and I think Randy wins after three hard rounds.
Jose Aldo vs. Mark Homenick
Fireworks. Leg kicks. Knockout. Aldo wins. Enough said.
Georges St. Pierre vs. Jake Shields
This one’s tough to call. Both of these guys love to wrestle and smother their opponents from the top. Shields has more experience with this fighting bigger guys at 185. He’s probably the better, more technical grappler too. He’s also more one-dimensional than St. Pierre. I’ll parrot what most are saying about this fight: if it stays standing, GSP will either finish the fight or win by decision. If it goes to the ground, I don’t think Shields will finish the champ, but he might eke out a split decision. Or we could be looking at another infamous championship draw. Maybe they’ll co-headline Edgar vs. Maynard III, but I hope not!